Bayesian Regression with Input Noise for High Dimensional Data

by Jo-Anne Ting, Aaron D'Souza and Stefan Schaal

Usually in the regression models, no noise is assume at the input side. This paper deals with the case the assumption doesn't hold. The basic observation is that when noise exists, the orignal model tends to underestimate the parameters (para. 3, sec. 2). I am interested in why it is (no reference and proof is given).

To filter the noise, a probabilistic model that resembles JFA is proposed. I can't help recalling those in Jordan's unpublished book. Now I can understand it better. The solution to the model (training part) relies on EM, which is commonly used when hidden variables are at hand. The inference part is done by marginalizing all hidden variables and conditioning the output on the input, as is done in conventional regression. The following figure shows evolution of their model,

I decide to review Jordan's book, really worth reading. Hopefully I'd derive several famous models for later seminars. Now let's get closer to the model. The hidden state t is assumed as a Gaussian. The observed x and y (I don't think z is necessary at all, so just forget about it) are conditioned on t and another parameter, and they are Gaussians too. The only non-Gaussian hidden variable α is a Gamma-distributed R.V.. It's paraphrased as precision of the two parameters, hence the only hyperparameter of the model. Why Gamma?

About the results... The figure shows when the test case is noise-free, the proposed model yields lowest errors. But when the test cases are also contaminated by noise, all methods perform equally worse. It's a little difficult to tell, since after all the test cases are not accurate at all, we know no groundtruth.